The rise of prediction markets across the United States has triggered an escalating regulatory battle and a debate over state gaming revenue. According to a report by the American Gaming Association, activities in these markets have cost state and tribal governments over 1 billion dollars in tax revenue. The trade association, which represents the regulated commercial gambling industry, argues that these platforms function as backdoor sports betting operations while bypassing voter decisions, consumer protections, and local licensing requirements. The dispute centers on whether prediction markets should be categorized as sports betting products under state authority or as swaps and derivatives…