Tag: Prediction Markets
Kalshi Adding Insider Trading Protections
Kalshi has introduced a series of new market integrity measures aimed at preventing insider trading and market manipulation, as the prediction market sector faces growing scrutiny from lawmakers and regulators. The measures, which take effect immediately, include employment disclosure requirements for traders participating in sensitive markets, a whistleblower portal, and tools that allow users to flag suspicious activity directly from market pages. The company stated the changes were based on recommendations from an independent Surveillance Audit Committee established to oversee the compliance program. Under the new framework, Kalshi will assign risk scores to markets based on factors including corporate performance…
Prediction Markets Financial & Legal Impacts
The rise of prediction markets across the United States has triggered an escalating regulatory battle and a debate over state gaming revenue. According to a report by the American Gaming Association, activities in these markets have cost state and tribal governments over 1 billion dollars in tax revenue. The trade association, which represents the regulated commercial gambling industry, argues that these platforms function as backdoor sports betting operations while bypassing voter decisions, consumer protections, and local licensing requirements. The dispute centers on whether prediction markets should be categorized as sports betting products under state authority or as swaps and derivatives…
Trump Backs Fed’s Regulation of Prediction Markets
US President Donald Trump has issued a strong endorsement for regulation of prediction markets, the fast-growing event contract sector. Such a move, however, would establish a direct conflict with several state officials. The White House is arguing for uniform national oversight, while individual states attempt to impose local restrictions and prohibitions. Through a social media statement, the president emphasized the necessity of maintaining the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as the sole regulatory authority over these platforms. He framed the push for federal administration as a way to create a consistent framework for the country, while also linking the sector to…
AGA Warns Senators on Prediction Markets
The American Gaming Association issued a stark warning about sports prediction markets to federal lawmakers this week, labeling them as backdoor betting operations that pose a direct threat to the established regulated gaming industry. Testifying before a U.S. Senate commerce subcommittee, AGA President and Chief Executive Officer Bill Miller argued that these markets are effectively operating as nationwide sports betting platforms. Miller stated that these platforms bypass the extensive regulatory systems established by states and tribal governments following the repeal of the Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act in 2018. During the hearing, titled No Sure Bets: Protecting Sports Integrity…
The Gambling vs Investing Mentality
The rise of digital betting platforms is creating a financial literacy crisis as the distinction between gambling vs investing becomes increasingly blurred for a new generation of participants. While both activities involve risk and uncertain outcomes, the underlying mechanics of each create vastly different financial results over time. Investing is fundamentally based on the concept of ownership. When individuals purchase stocks, bonds, or other assets, they are acquiring a claim on future cash flows and productive assets. This process relies on the compounding engine of the economy to build wealth over a long time horizon. In contrast, gambling is designed…
US Senate Bill to Ban Prediction Markets
Two United States senators have introduced a new legislative measure titled the End Prediction Markets Corruption Act aimed at preventing federal officials from participating in event based trading. Senators Jeff Merkley and Amy Klobuchar filed the bill on Thursday following reports of trades that suggested the use of nonpublic government information for financial gain. The proposed law would establish a comprehensive prohibition for the highest levels of the federal government. Under the measure, the president, vice president, and all members of Congress would be strictly forbidden from buying or selling event contracts on any prediction markets. The legislation also extends…




















